Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Not So Super Tuesday

Republicans won the governors seat in Virginia and New Jersey yesterday in the not so super Tuesday elections. Some pundits (I'll bet "pundit" looks good on the resume and business card) say this shows a tread towards the Republicans gaining back ground they lost in the 2008 elections and could show trouble for the Democrats in the 2010 mid-terms.

My reaction to yesterdays voting is "so what?" A lot can change in a year, so what happened yesterday is irrelevant to what problems voters are going to be facing 12 months from now. If more people are unemployed or underemployed, they are going to be ticked off at whoever's in power. If things are better, good for the party in power.

And what happens in 2010 will be irrelevant in terms of the 2012 presidential election. The Republicans swept to Congressional power in 1994 and Bill Clinton still managed to get reelected in 1996. All that matters on election day is what kind of mood the voters are in when they cast their ballot. Mood is everything, much more important than part or ideology.

I also saw a pundit (do people really refer to themselves as "pundits;" "Hi, I'm Mary. I'm a doctor." "Hi, I'm John. I'm a pundit." "You're a what now?") on tv this morning saying independent voters are trending towards Republicans, and this could have an effect in 2010. This guy needs to look up the word "independent."

I consider myself not just independent politically, but independent in thought as well. I'm married to a woman, not any ideology. Independents will vote for whoever seems to be the best candidate in an election. Speaking for myself, increasingly I prefer candidates from outside the two party system. Independents don't trend.

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